Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001166 1.315454e-03 0.001465 0.001625 0.001791 0.001959 0.002140
2025-12-07 0.000939 1.155732e-03 0.001379 0.001624 0.001884 0.002151 0.002443
2025-12-14 0.000737 9.996157e-04 0.001279 0.001593 0.001933 0.002286 0.002679
2025-12-21 0.000614 9.165250e-04 0.001247 0.001627 0.002043 0.002482 0.002973
2025-12-28 0.000473 7.975076e-04 0.001165 0.001597 0.002079 0.002592 0.003171
2026-01-04 0.000375 7.181231e-04 0.001121 0.001603 0.002148 0.002734 0.003400
2026-01-11 0.000282 6.341292e-04 0.001064 0.001589 0.002191 0.002843 0.003591
2026-01-18 0.000207 5.614863e-04 0.001014 0.001579 0.002234 0.002949 0.003775
2026-01-25 0.000123 4.606742e-04 0.000921 0.001513 0.002210 0.002978 0.003870
2026-02-01 0.000070 3.939042e-04 0.000866 0.001487 0.002228 0.003051 0.004012
2026-02-08 0.000038 3.501597e-04 0.000837 0.001490 0.002277 0.003157 0.004188
2026-02-15 0.000018 3.204202e-04 0.000824 0.001511 0.002346 0.003284 0.004386
2026-02-22 0.000004 2.969263e-04 0.000831 0.001573 0.002483 0.003510 0.004720
2026-03-01 NaN 2.408761e-04 0.000786 0.001569 0.002543 0.003650 0.004962
2026-03-08 NaN 1.776630e-04 0.000722 0.001537 0.002568 0.003750 0.005157
2026-03-15 NaN 1.485807e-04 0.000707 0.001569 0.002669 0.003937 0.005451
2026-03-22 NaN 1.002459e-04 0.000650 0.001539 0.002693 0.004033 0.005641
2026-03-29 NaN 7.101106e-05 0.000620 0.001545 0.002758 0.004176 0.005883
2026-04-05 NaN 4.167823e-05 0.000578 0.001531 0.002798 0.004287 0.006088
2026-04-12 NaN 2.001643e-05 0.000541 0.001520 0.002840 0.004401 0.006293
2026-04-19 NaN 6.052438e-07 0.000470 0.001455 0.002811 0.004427 0.006397
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000428 0.001430 0.002829 0.004510 0.006564
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000406 0.001433 0.002884 0.004633 0.006777